NRL 2026 Season: Complete Team-by-Team Analysis
Every club rated, every weakness exposed. The ultimate guide to the year ahead. Compiled February 2026.
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- Brisbane Broncos
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1. Brisbane Broncos
2025 Result: Premiers (1st) – Defeated Melbourne 26-22 in the Grand Final
The Good
The spine that delivered the club’s first premiership since 2006 remains intact. Reece Walsh, the Clive Churchill medallist, Adam Reynolds and Ezra Mam have another pre-season together. Patrick Carrigan and Payne Haas still patrol the middle. The core is there for a legitimate title defence.
Cameron Smith joining the coaching staff adds another layer of intrigue. The Storm legend working with Brisbane’s playmakers creates a fascinating subplot—genius recruitment or a chemistry experiment waiting to explode?
The Concerns
Payne Haas is heading to South Sydney in 2027. Managing his farewell season without it becoming a distraction will test Michael Maguire’s man-management. Then there’s the premiership hangover—history suggests backing up is harder than winning in the first place.
Outside back depth is thinner than the club would like. Beyond Selwyn Cobbo (now at the Dolphins) and Kotoni Staggs, the options are limited. Gehamat Shibasaki and Jesse Arthars are solid without being spectacular.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Cameron Smith (coaching consultant, Storm), Grant Anderson (Storm)
Departures: Selwyn Cobbo (Dolphins), Kobe Hetherington (Manly), Jock Madden (Tigers), Tyson Smoothy (Wakefield Trinity), Martin Taupau (retired)
Michael Maguire: Status secure. Pressure low. Delivered Brisbane’s first premiership in 19 years—has the complete trust of the playing group. The challenge now is maintaining hunger while managing the Haas situation.
The Big Question
Can they become the first team since the 1992-93 Broncos to go back-to-back? The spine is elite, the forward pack is among the competition’s best, and the coach has proven he can win the big one. But premiership hangovers are real, and Haas’s imminent departure looms over everything.
Predicted finish: 1st
Fantasy watch: Reece Walsh (FB) – $952K. Premium price but premium returns. Averaged 65+ PPG in big games during the premiership run.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 14-17. Storm (home), Panthers (away), Bulldogs (home), Roosters (away). Four finals-quality opponents in a month.
One to watch: Ezra Mam without the premiership pressure—is he the elite five-eighth Brisbane paid for?
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Reece Walsh (FB) 2. Jesse Arthars (WG) 3. Kotoni Staggs (CE) 4. Gehamat Shibasaki (CE) 5. Deine Mariner (WG) 6. Ezra Mam (FE) 7. Adam Reynolds (HB) © 8. Payne Haas (PR) 9. Cory Paix (HK) 10. Patrick Carrigan (PR) 11. Kurt Capewell (SR) 12. Jordan Riki (SR) 13. Billy Walters (LK) 14. Xavier Willison (BE) 15. TC Russell (BE) 16. Brendan Piakura (BE) 17. Blake Mozer (BE)
2. Canterbury Bulldogs
2025 Result: 3rd (Semi-finals)
Cameron Ciraldo has built something real in Belmore. The Bulldogs went from cellar-dwellers to top-four contenders through defensive discipline and intelligent recruitment. Stephen Crichton’s arrival transformed the backline. But now the window is opening, and patience is wearing thin.
What’s Working
The spine is settled. Crichton at captain and centre, Matt Burton at five-eighth, and Lachlan Galvin entering his second season at halfback. That combination now has a full pre-season together. Viliame Kikau, Jacob Preston and Kurt Mann provide size and experience in the forwards.
What Needs Work
The hooker transition looms large after Reed Mahoney’s move to the Cowboys. Bailey Hayward steps into the #9 jersey with limited first-grade experience. Questions remain about whether Galvin’s best position is halfback or five-eighth.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Leo Thompson (Knights), Sean O’Sullivan (Dolphins), Kade Dykes (Sharks), Max Feagai (Dolphins)
Departures: Reed Mahoney (Cowboys), Kurtis Morrin (Titans), Toby Sexton (Catalans), Blake Taaffe (Castleford), Blake Wilson (Manly)
Cameron Ciraldo: Status secure. Pressure moderate. Transformed the Bulldogs from laughing stock to genuine contender. Now he has to prove their defensive steel translates to September success.
The Big Question
Can they take the next step? The Bulldogs have been building nicely, but this is a results business. Another semi-final exit won’t be enough for a fanbase that’s waited 22 years for a premiership. The pressure is real.
Predicted finish: 2nd
Fantasy watch: Stephen Crichton (CE) – $780K. Try-scoring centre in a backline that creates plenty.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 20-23. Broncos (away), Storm (home), Knights (away), Panthers (home). Win two and they’re top-two contenders.
One to watch: Lachlan Galvin at halfback – the prodigy in his second season.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Connor Tracey (FB) 2. Jacob Kiraz (WG) 3. Stephen Crichton (CE) © 4. Bronson Xerri (CE) 5. Josh Addo-Carr (WG) 6. Matt Burton (FE) 7. Lachlan Galvin (HB) 8. Viliame Kikau (PR) 9. Bailey Hayward (HK) 10. Leo Thompson (PR) 11. Jacob Preston (SR) 12. Kurt Mann (SR) 13. Josh Curran (LK) 14. Lipoi Hopoi (BE) 15. Harrison Edwards (BE) 16. Jaemon Salmon (BE) 17. Chris Patolo (BE)
3. Newcastle Knights
2025 Result: Wooden Spoon (17th)
From the depths of a horror 6-18 season comes the most expensive gamble in NRL history. Dylan Brown arrives on a reported $13 million deal – the kind of contract that either transforms a club or haunts it for a decade. There is no middle ground here.
The Upside
Brown is the elite playmaker Newcastle has desperately needed. Kalyn Ponga, when fit, is among the most dangerous fullbacks in the game. Bradman Best, Dane Gagai and Dominic Young provide strike power on the edges. On paper, this backline should terrify opponents.
Justin Holbrook returns to NRL head coaching after successful Super League stint. He has done this before – got the Titans to finals in his first season.
The Risk
Ponga’s concussion history makes every big hit a potential season-ender. The hooker situation is uncertain – Sandon Smith arrives from the Roosters but is unproven in the #9 role. The forward pack, while solid, lacks the intimidation factor of the competition’s elite.
Most importantly: $13 million for one player creates pressure like nothing else in rugby league.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Dylan Brown (Eels, $13M deal), Sandon Smith (Roosters), Trey Mooney (Raiders), Kai Pearce-Paul (Tigers)
Departures: Leo Thompson (Bulldogs), Jack Cogger (Panthers), Jackson Hastings (St Helens)
Justin Holbrook: New appointment. Pressure moderate. Returns after successful Super League stint. History of improving teams quickly – Titans made finals in his first NRL season.
The Big Question
Can Dylan Brown and Kalyn Ponga coexist? Two of the game’s most gifted playmakers trying to find the right balance could produce magic – or it could get messy. The Knights’ entire season hinges on this partnership working.
Predicted finish: 3rd
Fantasy watch: Dylan Brown (FE) – $450K. High-risk, massive ceiling if he fires with Ponga alongside.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 1-4. Dolphins (away), Cowboys (home), Raiders (away), Storm (home). A new-look spine needs fast starts.
One to watch: Dylan Brown and Kalyn Ponga together – magic or mess?
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Kalyn Ponga (FB) © 2. Dominic Young (WG) 3. Bradman Best (CE) 4. Dane Gagai (CE) 5. Fletcher Sharpe (WG) 6. Dylan Brown (FE) 7. Jack Cogger (HB) 8. Daniel Saifiti (PR) 9. Sandon Smith (HK) 10. Jacob Saifiti (PR) 11. Tyson Frizell (SR) 12. Trey Mooney (SR) 13. Adam Elliott (LK) 14. Phoenix Crossland (BE) 15. Brodie Jones (BE) 16. Mat Croker (BE) 17. Leo Thompson (BE)
4. Melbourne Storm
2025 Result: Grand Final runners-up (2nd)
The machine bends but does not break. Melbourne lost the grand final to Brisbane by four points, and then lost even more in the off-season. Ryan Papenhuyzen retired. Nelson Asofa-Solomona left for boxing. Eli Katoa faces a season-ending brain injury. This is Craig Bellamy’s biggest reconstruction challenge yet.
What Remains
Cameron Munster, Jahrome Hughes, and Harry Grant form an elite spine trio still at their peak. Sua Fa’alogo showed in 2025 he is ready to fill the fullback void left by Papenhuyzen. Bellamy signed through to 2028.
What Changed
Grant Anderson heads to Brisbane. The forward rotation has been reinforced with Jack Hetherington and Davvy Moale. But the losses of experienced stars are significant.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Jack Hetherington (Knights), Davvy Moale (Rabbitohs), Trent Toelau (Panthers)
Departures: Ryan Papenhuyzen (retired), Nelson Asofa-Solomona (retired), Jonah Pezet (Eels), Eli Katoa (season-ending injury)
Craig Bellamy: Contract extended to 2028. Pressure low. Despite grand final loss, remains the benchmark. This may be his biggest reconstruction challenge yet – but never count out a Bellamy-coached team.
The Big Question
Can Sua Fa’alogo handle the full-time fullback role? The kid can fly, and watching him become the next Storm star is exactly the kind of succession planning Melbourne does better than anyone. But replacing Papenhuyzen’s impact is a tall order.
Predicted finish: 4th
Fantasy watch: Harry Grant (HK) – $850K. Workhorse hooker in a Bellamy system that maximises his minutes.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 6-9. Roosters (home), Broncos (away), Panthers (home), Bulldogs (away). Traditional contender gauntlet.
One to watch: Sua Fa’alogo taking over at fullback – the next Storm production line star.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Sua Fa’alogo (FB) 2. Xavier Coates (WG) 3. Nick Meaney (CE) 4. Marion Seve (CE) 5. Will Warbrick (WG) 6. Cameron Munster (FE) 7. Jahrome Hughes (HB) 8. Tui Kamikamica (PR) 9. Harry Grant (HK) © 10. Josh King (PR) 11. Trent Loiero (SR) 12. Shawn Blore (SR) 13. Tyran Wishart (LK) 14. Jack Hetherington (BE) 15. Davvy Moale (BE) 16. Alec MacDonald (BE) 17. Joe Chan (BE)
5. Dolphins
2025 Result: 9th (Missed finals)
Third season syndrome or third-year breakthrough? The Dolphins showed enough in 2025 to suggest they are close, but defensive lapses cost them a finals berth. Now Tom Flegler returns after 677 days out with a career-threatening shoulder injury, and Selwyn Cobbo arrives from across town.
The Positives
Isaiya Katoa continues to develop into one of the competition’s most exciting young halves. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow provides game-breaking ability from fullback. Herbie Farnworth is rated among the competition’s elite centres.
If Flegler can recapture his Queensland Origin form, the Dolphins have a genuine enforcer in the middle.
The Challenges
Defensive consistency remains the concern. They score plenty but leak too many. The back five is crowded – Averillo, Cobbo, Naufahu, Bostock all fighting for limited spots. And for all the talent, they have never played finals football.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Selwyn Cobbo (Broncos), Brad Schneider (Panthers), Matthew Dufty (Warrington)
Departures: Kenny Bromwich (retired), Mark Nicholls (retired), Sean O’Sullivan (Bulldogs)
Kristian Woolf: Status secure. Pressure moderate. Third season at helm; needs to deliver the club’s maiden finals appearance. Believes the backline depth can lead to September success.
The Big Question
Can they finally crack the eight? Everything points to it being possible – talent across the park, an improving young half, and the injection of Cobbo’s finishing ability. But potential and results are different things.
Predicted finish: 5th
Fantasy watch: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow (FB) – $720K. The Hammer breaks games open.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 18-21. Storm (home), Broncos (away), Knights (home), Cowboys (away). Third season needs September.
One to watch: Tom Flegler’s shoulder – 677 days out, now the enforcer they need.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow (FB) 2. Selwyn Cobbo (WG) 3. Herbie Farnworth (CE) 4. Jake Averillo (CE) 5. Jack Bostock (WG) 6. Kodi Nikorima (FE) 7. Isaiya Katoa (HB) 8. Tom Flegler (PR) 9. Jeremy Marshall-King (HK) 10. Josh Kerr (PR) 11. Felise Kaufusi (SR) 12. Connelly Lemuelu (SR) 13. Tom Gilbert (LK) © 14. Tevita Naufahu (BE) 15. Oryn Keeley (BE) 16. Brandon Smith (BE) 17. Trai Fuller (BE)
6. Sydney Roosters
2025 Result: 8th (Elimination Final – lost to Sharks 20-10)
The Robocop approach continues. After years of collecting talent without gelling as a team, the Roosters have gone even harder on the galactico model: Daly Cherry-Evans arrives from Manly at age 37. Reece Robson joins from the Cowboys to shore up the hooker position. The question remains: can this collection of stars become a team?
The Upside
James Tedesco won the Dally M Medal in 2025. He remains among the game’s elite fullbacks. DCE brings 13 seasons of organisational brilliance – exactly what the Roosters have lacked since Cooper Cronk retired.
The Risk
Victor Radley’s suspension early in the season disrupts cohesion. Can a 37-year-old halfback learn a new system and build combinations fast enough? And there’s the age question: Tedesco and DCE are in the latter years of stellar careers.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Daly Cherry-Evans (Sea Eagles), Reece Robson (Cowboys), Tommy Talau (Sea Eagles), Cody Ramsey (Dragons)
Departures: Sandon Smith (Knights), Chad Townsend (retired), Sitili Tupouniua (Bulldogs)
Trent Robinson: Status secure. Pressure moderate. Won three premierships (2013, 2018, 2019) but recent seasons have been lean. DCE signing shows ambition; finals minimum expectation.
The Big Question
Can DCE and Sam Walker coexist in the halves? A veteran legend and a rising star trying to find the right balance. If it works, the Roosters could surge. If it doesn’t, questions will intensify about the entire direction of the club.
Predicted finish: 6th
Fantasy watch: James Tedesco (FB) – $920K. Dally M winner, still elite.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 11-14. Storm (away), Panthers (home), Bulldogs (away), Raiders (home). Four quality opponents.
One to watch: DCE and Sam Walker in the halves together.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. James Tedesco (FB) © 2. Daniel Tupou (WG) 3. Robert Toia (CE) 4. Billy Smith (CE) 5. Mark Nawaqanitawase (WG) 6. Sam Walker (FE) 7. Daly Cherry-Evans (HB) 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves (PR) 9. Reece Robson (HK) 10. Spencer Leniu (PR) 11. Angus Crichton (SR) 12. Siua Wong (SR) 13. Victor Radley (LK) 14. Brandon Smith (BE) 15. Terrell May (BE) 16. Nat Butcher (BE) 17. Egon Butcher (BE)
7. Cronulla Sharks
2025 Result: 5th (Lost preliminary final to Storm 22-14)
Craig Fitzgibbon has built something solid in the Shire. The Sharks consistently make finals but haven’t been able to take the next step. Five September pushes, zero grand final appearances. At some point, consistency becomes a ceiling.
Strengths
Minimal roster turnover means continuity in systems and combinations. Nicho Hynes, when at his best, is among the competition’s elite playmakers. Kayal Iro emerged in 2025 as one of the most dangerous centres in the game.
Weaknesses
Hynes’ consistency remains the key variable. When he is on, the Sharks can beat anyone. When he is off, they look rudderless. Key players are entering the latter years of their careers without obvious succession.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Kade Dykes (Bulldogs)
Departures: Daniel Atkinson (Dragons), Matt Shaw (released)
Craig Fitzgibbon: Status secure. Pressure moderate. Has the Sharks consistently in finals but yet to break through. Roster stability may help – or may limit upside.
The Big Question
Can they finally win in September? Making the preliminary final in 2025 was progress, but losing to Melbourne exposed the gap to genuine contender status.
Predicted finish: 7th
Fantasy watch: Nicho Hynes (HB) – $880K. Dally M winner talent when he is on.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 14-17. Dragons (away), Cowboys (home), Bulldogs (away), Storm (home). Four games that define top-four credentials.
One to watch: Kayal Iro – son of Kiwi great Kevin Iro, try-scoring machine.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. William Kennedy (FB) 2. Ronaldo Mulitalo (WG) 3. Jesse Ramien (CE) 4. Kayal Iro (CE) 5. Sione Katoa (WG) 6. Matt Moylan (FE) 7. Nicho Hynes (HB) © 8. Royce Hunt (PR) 9. Blayke Brailey (HK) 10. Oregon Kaufusi (PR) 11. Briton Nikora (SR) 12. Teig Wilton (SR) 13. Cameron McInnes (LK) 14. Braydon Trindall (BE) 15. Tuku Hau Tapuha (BE) 16. Toby Rudolf (BE) 17. Tom Hazelton (BE)
8. South Sydney Rabbitohs
2025 Result: 14th
Wayne Bennett is back. The supercoach returns for his second stint at South Sydney after a horror 2025 season saw them finish 14th with significant defensive issues. At age 74, questions about energy and long-term commitment are valid. But so is the question: can anyone fix a broken team faster than Bennett?
The Positives
Bennett has history of turning struggling teams around quickly. He knows the club from his previous stint. Leadership in Cody Walker, Cameron Murray, and Latrell Mitchell remains – when they are all firing, this is a dangerous team. David Fifita arrives from the Titans to add strike in the back row.
The Concerns
2025 was ugly – conceding over 600 points across the season. The squad turnover has been significant. And Bennett is 74, coaching in a competition that demands relentless energy. Payne Haas has been signed for 2027, but that is next year. This year is about salvage.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: David Fifita (Titans), Adam Elliott (Knights), Kai Pearce-Paul (Knights), Jayden Sullivan (Tigers)
Departures: Siliva Havili (London Broncos), Josh Schuster (TBD)
Wayne Bennett: Just appointed. Pressure high. The greatest coach of all time taking on one last rebuild. History suggests he can fix this – but this is not 2010.
The Big Question
Can Bennett’s presence alone transform the culture? South Sydney’s defensive issues in 2025 were not just structural – they were attitudinal. That is exactly where Bennett excels. But 24 rounds plus finals is a long season for a 74-year-old.
Predicted finish: 8th
Fantasy watch: Latrell Mitchell (FB) – $650K. If healthy and motivated, massive ceiling.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 5-8. Bulldogs (home), Raiders (away), Dragons (home), Storm (away). Early momentum is everything.
One to watch: Wayne Bennett at 74 – the greatest coach taking on one last rebuild.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Latrell Mitchell (FB) 2. Alex Johnston (WG) 3. Campbell Graham (CE) 4. Jack Wighton (CE) 5. Taane Milne (WG) 6. Cody Walker (FE) 7. Jamie Humphreys (HB) 8. Tevita Tatola (PR) 9. Damien Cook (HK) 10. Sean Keppie (PR) 11. Keaon Koloamatangi (SR) 12. David Fifita (SR) 13. Cameron Murray (LK) © 14. Peter Mamouzelos (BE) 15. Thomas Burgess (BE) 16. Liam Leeman (BE) 17. Shaq Mitchell (BE)
9. North Queensland Cowboys
2025 Result: 12th
Todd Payten enters his contract year under serious pressure. The Cowboys finished 12th in 2025 with the second-worst defence in the competition. Reed Mahoney arrives from the Bulldogs to fix the hooker position. Scott Drinkwater remains one of the game’s most gifted running halves. But defensive questions persist, and Townsville can be a lonely place when results don’t come.
The Positives
Mahoney’s arrival gives them an organising #9 that has been missing. Drinkwater and Dearden provide exciting halves combination. Valentine Holmes remains a dangerous finisher on the wing. The home ground advantage at Queensland Country Bank Stadium remains significant.
The Concerns
Defensive system was exposed repeatedly in 2025. Jason Taumalolo is another year older. The forward pack lacks genuine intimidation factor. Travel demands remain a factor for a geographically isolated team.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Reed Mahoney (Bulldogs), Karl Lawton (Hull KR), Semi Valemei (Castleford)
Departures: Reece Robson (Roosters), Jordan McLean (retired), Jamayne Taunoa-Brown (Titans)
Todd Payten: Contract year. Pressure high. The 2025 defensive collapse puts him on notice. Mahoney signing is his lifeline.
The Big Question
Can Reed Mahoney fix their defensive structure? The hooker controls the ruck and sets the defensive line. His arrival is the key to everything Payten is trying to build.
Predicted finish: 9th
Fantasy watch: Scott Drinkwater (FE) – $780K. Running half with big numbers potential.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 8-11. Sharks (home), Knights (away), Panthers (home), Cowboys (away). Tough middle section.
One to watch: Reed Mahoney at hooker – the defensive general they desperately need.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Scott Drinkwater (FB) 2. Kyle Feldt (WG) 3. Valentine Holmes (CE) 4. Zac Laybutt (CE) 5. Semi Valemei (WG) 6. Tom Dearden (FE) © 7. Chad Townsend (HB) 8. Griffin Neame (PR) 9. Reed Mahoney (HK) 10. Jason Taumalolo (PR) 11. Coen Hess (SR) 12. Heilum Luki (SR) 13. Jeremiah Nanai (LK) 14. Jake Granville (BE) 15. Harrison Edwards (BE) 16. Sam McIntyre (BE) 17. Tomas Chester (BE)
10. Penrith Panthers
2025 Result: 7th (Lost semi-final to Bulldogs)
The dynasty is transitioning. Ivan Cleary and Nathan Cleary remain the competition’s premier coach-halfback combination, but the roster has turned over significantly since the grand final years. James Fisher-Harris moved to the Warriors. Jarome Luai is at the Tigers. Stephen Crichton has been at the Bulldogs since 2024. This is still a good team, but the dominance is gone.
What Remains
Nathan Cleary is still the best halfback in the game when fit. Isaah Yeo is among the competition’s most respected locks. The defensive system under Ivan Cleary remains elite. Emerging halves Jack Cole and Blaize Talagi offer hope for the future.
What’s Missing
The forward rotation lost its anchor with Fisher-Harris departing. The five-eighth position is unproven. The roster depth has thinned through years of success and salary cap pressure.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Daine Laurie (Raiders – returned), Tom Ale (Warriors), Morgan Harper (Newtown)
Departures: James Fisher-Harris (Warriors), Soni Luke (Cowboys), Brad Schneider (Dolphins), Trent Toelau (Storm)
Ivan Cleary: Status secure. Pressure low. Four-time premiership-winning coach adjusting to new reality. The culture he built remains; the playing roster is catching up.
The Big Question
Can Nathan Cleary carry them on his own? Without Fisher-Harris, Luai, and the supporting cast of years past, this becomes the ultimate test of Cleary’s individual brilliance.
Predicted finish: 10th
Fantasy watch: Nathan Cleary (HB) – $950K. Premium price but worth every dollar if he stays fit.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 12-15. Storm (away), Raiders (home), Broncos (away), Bulldogs (home). The Cleary factor will be tested.
One to watch: Emerging halves Jack Cole and Blaize Talagi – the future without Luai.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Dylan Edwards (FB) © 2. Brian To’o (WG) 3. Izack Tago (CE) 4. Daine Laurie (CE) 5. Sunia Turuva (WG) 6. Jack Cole (FE) 7. Nathan Cleary (HB) 8. Liam Henry (PR) 9. Mitch Kenny (HK) 10. Lindsay Smith (PR) 11. Scott Sorensen (SR) 12. Luke Garner (SR) 13. Isaah Yeo (LK) 14. Blaize Talagi (BE) 15. Liam Martin (BE) 16. Spencer Leniu (BE) 17. Mavrik Geyer (BE)
11. Manly Sea Eagles
2025 Result: 10th
The post-Daly Cherry-Evans era begins. After 13 seasons as the heart of the club, DCE has moved to the Roosters. Tom Trbojevic takes the captaincy, but his hamstring history makes every game a risk. Tolu Koula is a genuine star in the centres, but the organisational void left by DCE is massive. Anthony Seibold is under pressure.
The Upside
Tom Trbojevic, when fit, is among the game’s most destructive players. Tolu Koula emerged as an Origin-quality centre. Gordon Chan Kum Tong and Kobe Hetherington add energy in the halves. The forward pack remains competitive.
The Risk
The halves combination lacks experience without DCE. Trbojevic’s injury history hangs over everything. Brookvale Oval fortress has lost some of its fear factor.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Gordon Chan Kum Tong (Bulldogs), Kobe Hetherington (Broncos), Matthew Lodge (Cowboys)
Departures: Daly Cherry-Evans (Roosters), Lachlan Croker (retired), Josh Aloiai (retired)
Anthony Seibold: Under pressure. Status moderate. Needs to show he can win without DCE’s organisational brilliance. Trbojevic’s fitness is the wild card.
The Big Question
Can Tom Trbojevic stay fit for an entire season? If Turbo plays 20+ games and remains relatively unscathed, Manly could surprise. But that is a big if based on recent history.
Predicted finish: 11th
Fantasy watch: Tom Trbojevic (FB) – $680K. High-risk, high-reward given injury history.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 3-6. Roosters (home), Storm (away), Dolphins (home), Knights (away). Early tests without DCE.
One to watch: Trbojevic’s hamstrings – will the new captain complete the season?
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Tom Trbojevic (FB) © 2. Jason Saab (WG) 3. Tolu Koula (CE) 4. Reuben Garrick (CE) 5. Christian Tuipulotu (WG) 6. Gordon Chan Kum Tong (FE) 7. Kobe Hetherington (HB) 8. Taniela Paseka (PR) 9. Jake Simpkin (HK) 10. Matthew Lodge (PR) 11. Haumole Olakau’atu (SR) 12. Ben Trbojevic (SR) 13. Jake Trbojevic (LK) 14. Josh Schuster (BE) 15. Kaeo Weekes (BE) 16. Toafofoa Sipley (BE) 17. Lehi Hopoate (BE)
12. St George Illawarra Dragons
2025 Result: 15th
The Flanagan family project continues, with all the questions that entails. Shane coaching his son Kyle at five-eighth raises eyebrows about merit versus nepotism. Daniel Atkinson arrives from the Sharks but has never started an NRL game at halfback. Major roster cleanout has created short-term pain for hoped long-term gain.
The Positives
Ben Hunt remains a top-tier hooker when fit. Zac Lomax is a genuine attacking weapon from fullback. Francis Molo and Blake Lawrie form a solid platform. Tyran Wishart showed promise in his first consistent starting stint.
The Concerns
The halves remain the question mark. Kyle Flanagan has not proven himself as a genuine NRL five-eighth. Atkinson at halfback is a gamble. The outside back depth is thin. The joint-venture identity crisis continues off-field.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Daniel Atkinson (Sharks), Josh Kerr (Dolphins), Sione Finau (Raiders)
Departures: Jack de Belin (Eels), Ben Murdoch-Masila (retired), Corey Allan (retired), Cody Ramsey (Roosters)
Shane Flanagan: Under pressure. Status moderate. Must show progress in year two. The father-son dynamic will be scrutinised heavily if results don’t come.
The Big Question
Can Kyle Flanagan prove he belongs at this level? The nepotism tag won’t go away until he produces consistent NRL performances. The pressure on him is immense.
Predicted finish: 12th
Fantasy watch: Zac Lomax (FB) – $720K. Proven point-scorer with dual position eligibility.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 7-10. Broncos (home), Panthers (away), Knights (home), Raiders (away). Make or break period.
One to watch: Kyle Flanagan at five-eighth – merit or nepotism?
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Zac Lomax (FB) 2. Mat Feagai (WG) 3. Jack Bostock (CE) 4. Mosese Suli (CE) 5. Mikaele Ravalawa (WG) 6. Kyle Flanagan (FE) 7. Daniel Atkinson (HB) 8. Francis Molo (PR) 9. Ben Hunt (HK) © 10. Blake Lawrie (PR) 11. Jack Bird (SR) 12. Jaydn Su’A (SR) 13. Tyran Wishart (LK) 14. Jacob Liddle (BE) 15. Josh Kerr (BE) 16. Ryan Couchman (BE) 17. Sione Finau (BE)
13. Canberra Raiders
2025 Result: Minor Premiers (1st), lost preliminary final to Broncos 16-14
The heartbreak of 2025 lingers. Minor premiers by two competition points, hosting a preliminary final at Canberra Stadium, four points from a grand final – and they lost to Brisbane. Now comes the hangover. Josh Papalii and Jordan Rapana are another year older. Joseph Tapine takes the captaincy. Ricky Stuart is a master motivator, but this team’s window might be closing.
What Remains
Jamal Fogarty and Jordan Rapana provide halves experience. Tapine and Papalii still form a formidable front row. Hudson Young is one of the competition’s most underrated back-rowers. Ricky Stuart’s defensive systems remain elite.
What Changed
Trey Mooney heads to Newcastle, robbing them of back-row depth. Jayden Brailey’s departure creates a hooker question. The roster is aging at key positions. The prelim final hangover is real.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Daine Laurie (Panthers – returned), Manaia Waitere (Storm), Adam Cook (Leigh)
Departures: Trey Mooney (Knights), Jayden Brailey (Knights), Danny Levi (Leeds), Albert Hopoate (Warrington)
Ricky Stuart: Status secure. Pressure low. Got them to minor premiership but prelim loss hurts. Master motivator who knows how to get the most from his roster.
The Big Question
Can they overcome the prelim final hangover? History suggests the emotional toll of losing a grand final qualifier at home carries into the following season. Stuart must find a way to re-energise this group.
Predicted finish: 13th
Fantasy watch: Jamal Fogarty (HB) – $650K. Solid scoring base in Stuart’s system.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 5-8. Broncos (home), Storm (away), Rabbitohs (home), Roosters (away). Prelim hangover test.
One to watch: The old guard – Papalii and Rapana showing they have another year left.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Xavier Savage (FB) 2. Jordan Rapana (WG) 3. Sebastian Kris (CE) 4. Matt Timoko (CE) 5. Nick Cotric (WG) 6. Ethan Strange (FE) 7. Jamal Fogarty (HB) © 8. Joseph Tapine (PR) 9. Tom Starling (HK) 10. Josh Papalii (PR) 11. Hudson Young (SR) 12. Elliott Whitehead (SR) 13. Morgan Smithies (LK) 14. Zac Woolford (BE) 15. Adam Cook (BE) 16. Simi Sasagi (BE) 17. Pasami Saulo (BE)
14. Gold Coast Titans
2025 Result: 16th
Josh Hannay takes over from Des Hasler with a massive job ahead. The Titans conceded 719 points in 2025 – worst in the competition. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui remains the heart of the team, but his contract allows him to leave at season’s end. That uncertainty will hang over everything. Lachlan Ilias arrives from the Dragons to partner Jayden Campbell in the halves.
The Positives
Tino Fa’asuamaleaui is a genuine superstar when motivated. Jayden Campbell is an exciting young fullback. Tanah Boyd showed glimpses of being an NRL-level halfback. The roster has young talent.
The Concerns
The defensive system was non-existent in 2025. The halves partnership is untested. Tino’s potential departure creates a cloud over everything. The club culture has struggled for years.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Lachlan Ilias (Dragons), Kurtis Morrin (Bulldogs), Max Feagai (Dolphins), Luke Sommerton (Panthers)
Departures: David Fifita (Rabbitohs), Brian Kelly (Eels), AJ Brimson (Super League), Kieran Foran (retired)
Josh Hannay: New appointment. Pressure high. Taking over a team that conceded 719 points. Has to build a defensive system from scratch while managing Tino’s contract situation.
The Big Question
Will Tino Fa’asuamaleaui stay beyond this season? His potential departure is the cloud hanging over every game. Hannay must convince him to stay while building a team that can win without relying entirely on his brilliance.
Predicted finish: 14th
Fantasy watch: Tino Fa’asuamaleaui (LK) – $820K. Will he play for cash or for the team?
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 19-22. Knights (home), Broncos (away), Dragons (home), Cowboys (away). Can they avoid another wooden spoon?
One to watch: Tino’s commitment – superstar playing for a new contract.
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Jayden Campbell (FB) 2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira (WG) 3. Aaron Schoupp (CE) 4. Jojo Fifita (CE) 5. Ken Maumalo (WG) 6. Lachlan Ilias (FE) 7. Tanah Boyd (HB) 8. Moeaki Fotuaika (PR) 9. Chris Randall (HK) 10. Isaac Liu (PR) 11. Beau Fermor (SR) 12. Joe Stimson (SR) 13. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui (LK) © 14. Kieran Foran (BE) 15. Erin Clark (BE) 16. Klese Haas (BE) 17. Max King (BE)
15. Parramatta Eels
2025 Result: 11th
Three years out of finals. Dylan Brown left for Newcastle’s record-breaking offer. The Zac Lomax situation remains unresolved – his court case with the Storm over a potential transfer creates unprecedented uncertainty. Jason Ryles is under pressure to show progress in his second season. Isaiah Iongi starred at fullback as a rookie and needs to build on that.
The Positives
Isaiah Iongi looks like a long-term fullback solution. Mitchell Moses, when fit, remains a top-tier halfback. The forward pack of Reagan Campbell-Gillard and Junior Paulo has grunt. Jonah Pezet arrives from Melbourne to add a halves option.
The Concerns
The five-eighth position is a massive hole without Brown. Centre depth without Lomax is problematic. Three years out of finals has dented the club’s confidence. The halves combinations lack clarity.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Jonah Pezet (Storm), Jack de Belin (Dragons), Brian Kelly (Titans), Wiremu Greig (Townsville Blackhawks)
Departures: Dylan Brown (Knights), Shaun Lane (retired), Joey Lussick (retired), Haze Dunster (TBD), Reagan Campbell-Gillard (London Broncos)
Jason Ryles: Under pressure. Status moderate. Second season with the Eels must show improvement. Three years out of finals is unacceptable at this club.
The Big Question
Who plays five-eighth? Without Brown, Pezet and other options must fill a massive void. The Lomax court case adds uncertainty to the backline. Ryles needs to find solutions quickly.
Predicted finish: 15th
Fantasy watch: Isaiah Iongi (FB) – $550K. Rookie sensation with huge upside.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 10-13. Roosters (home), Storm (away), Raiders (home), Sharks (away). Survival mode.
One to watch: The five-eighth position – who replaces Dylan Brown’s production?
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Isaiah Iongi (FB) 2. Maika Sivo (WG) 3. Will Penisini (CE) 4. Zac Lomax (CE) 5. Sean Russell (WG) 6. Jonah Pezet (FE) 7. Mitchell Moses (HB) © 8. Wiremu Greig (PR) 9. Brendan Hands (HK) 10. Junior Paulo (PR) 11. Jake Tago (SR) 12. Joe Ofahengaue (SR) 13. Jack de Belin (LK) 14. Blaize Talagi (BE) 15. Deajarn Asi (BE) 16. Ethan Bullemor (BE) 17. J’maine Hopgood (BE)
16. New Zealand Warriors
2025 Result: 6th (Lost qualifying final to Panthers 24-8, lost semi-final to Broncos)
Andrew Webster has built something across the Tasman. The Warriors made finals in both seasons under his guidance, playing a brand of football that energises their passionate fanbase. James Fisher-Harris arrives from Penrith as co-captain, bringing premiership pedigree. But the travel disadvantage never goes away, and depth is always tested when you’re based in Auckland.
The Strengths
Fisher-Harris adds a premiership-winning voice and presence. Shaun Johnson, in his final season, provides halves experience. Tohu Harris remains a leader. The home support at Mount Smart Stadium is among the best in the game.
The Concerns
Shaun Johnson’s retirement at season’s end creates a halves succession question. The travel demands are relentless. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck’s shift to centre is still settling. Depth remains an issue compared to Sydney clubs.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: James Fisher-Harris (Panthers), Tom Ale (Panthers), Kalani Going (Panthers), Alofiana Khan-Pereira (Titans)
Departures: Addin Fonua-Blake (Super League), Edward Kosi (Rabbitohs), Moala Graham-Taufa (Rabbitohs)
Andrew Webster: Status secure. Pressure moderate. Has built a competitive team across the Tasman. Fisher-Harris arrival signals intent to push deeper into September.
The Big Question
Can they survive the travel grind again? Two straight finals appearances is impressive, but maintaining that with Johnson’s departure looming is the challenge. Fisher-Harris’s leadership will be crucial.
Predicted finish: 16th
Fantasy watch: James Fisher-Harris (PR) – $850K. Premiership winner with high work rate.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 15-18. Panthers (home), Broncos (away), Titans (home), Raiders (away). Travel-heavy section.
One to watch: Shaun Johnson’s farewell tour – can he go out on a high?
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad (FB) 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak (WG) 3. Adam Pompey (CE) 4. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (CE) 5. Edward Kosi (WG) 6. Shaun Johnson (FE) 7. Wayde Egan (HB) 8. James Fisher-Harris (PR) © 9. Freddy Lussick (HK) 10. Tohu Harris (PR) 11. Marata Niukore (SR) 12. Kurt Capewell (SR) 13. Mitch Barnett (LK) 14. Te Maire Martin (BE) 15. Ali Leiataua (BE) 16. Tom Ale (BE) 17. Zyon Maiu’u (BE)
17. Wests Tigers
2025 Result: 13th
Benji Marshall coaching the club he loves. Jarome Luai arriving from Penrith to bring winning culture. On paper, it sounds promising. But the Tigers have been “promising next year” for a decade. They conceded 612 points in 2025. That number matters more than any signing. Luai’s swagger could transform the mentality – or it could clash with a losing culture that has proven hard to change.
The Hope
Luai brings premiership-winning mentality. Jahream Bula is an exciting young fullback. Stefano Utoikamanu has rep potential. The club has recruited better under Marshall. Lachlan Galvin showed flashes in limited opportunities.
The Reality
612 points conceded in 2025. Defensive systems take years to build. Luai has never been the primary playmaker – always had Cleary alongside. The expectation on a club legend coaching is immense.
Key Personnel Changes
Arrivals: Jarome Luai (Panthers), Jock Madden (Broncos), Justin Olam (retired – returned), Tallyn Da Silva (Eels)
Departures: Api Koroisau (retired), Daine Laurie (Panthers), Charlie Staines (Catalans), Brent Naden (Thirroul)
Benji Marshall: Club legend elevated. Pressure high. First full season as head coach. Luai signing shows ambition but defensive improvement must follow. The fanbase expects progress.
The Big Question
Can Jarome Luai be the primary playmaker? At Penrith, he had Nathan Cleary to handle the big moments. At the Tigers, he is the marquee man. That is a different level of pressure. If Luai thrives, the Tigers could surprise. If he struggles, it could be another long year.
Predicted finish: 17th
Fantasy watch: Jarome Luai (FE) – $700K. Proven winner but unproven as the main man.
Season-defining stretch: Rounds 20-23. Broncos (home), Storm (away), Panthers (home), Roosters (away). Honest assessment time.
One to watch: Luai without Cleary – can he carry a team?
Predicted Round 1 Side
1. Jahream Bula (FB) 2. Junior Tupou (WG) 3. Justin Olam (CE) 4. Starford To’a (CE) 5. Charlie Staines (WG) 6. Jarome Luai (FE) © 7. Lachlan Galvin (HB) 8. Stefano Utoikamanu (PR) 9. Apisai Koroisau (HK) 10. David Klemmer (PR) 11. John Bateman (SR) 12. Samuela Fainu (SR) 13. Isaiah Papali’i (LK) 14. Jock Madden (BE) 15. Tallyn Da Silva (BE) 16. Alex Twal (BE) 17. Fonua Pole (BE)
Predicted 2026 Ladder
| Pos | Team | Key Storyline |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Broncos | Premiers defend title with largely intact squad plus Cameron Smith on staff |
| 2 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Ciraldo’s project reaches the point of truth |
| 3 | Newcastle Knights | Dylan Brown’s $13M arrival transforms wooden spooners |
| 4 | Melbourne Storm | Bellamy rebuilds despite heavy personnel losses |
| 5 | Dolphins | Third season, Flegler returns, Cobbo adds strike |
| 6 | Sydney Roosters | DCE experiment – genius or misguided? |
| 7 | Cronulla Sharks | Stable but can they take the next step? |
| 8 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | Wayne Bennett’s return – can he fix the defence? |
| 9 | North Queensland Cowboys | Payten’s contract year with Mahoney addition |
| 10 | Penrith Panthers | Transition continues but Cleary factor remains |
| 11 | Manly Sea Eagles | Post-DCE era begins with uncertainty |
| 12 | St George Illawarra Dragons | Flanagan family project continues |
| 13 | Canberra Raiders | Prelim hangover after minor premiership |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | Hannay begins massive rebuild with Tino uncertainty |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | Three years out of finals, Brown gone, Lomax saga |
| 16 | New Zealand Warriors | Fisher-Harris adds grunt, depth concerns persist |
| 17 | Wests Tigers | Luai’s arrival meets a decade of dysfunction |
Analysis compiled from pre-season news, trial matches, and verified transfers as of February 14, 2026. Player movements and lineups subject to change. Predictions are speculative and for entertainment purposes.
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